Benefits
of Maximizing Shareholders’ Wealth
What’s
and Agency Relationship?
Real
Risk Free Rate of Interest
Nominal,
Or Quoted, Risk-Free Rate of Interest, Rfr
Chapter
2 – Risk and Return part 1
Expected
Rate of Return (payoff matrix table)
Diversifiable
Risk versus Market Risk
Chapter
3 – Risk and Return part 2
· Divide
the required rate by 2 (int/2)
· Divide
the coupon payment by 2 (pmt/2)
· Multiply
the number of payments by 2 (PMT * 2)
· Interest
Yield (or Current Yield)
Value
of Callable Bond (Equation and Formulas)
· Closely
held companies and stocks
· Initial
Public Offering (IPO)
· Expected
Capital Gains Yield
Value
of a stock with a stream of cash flows.
Constant
Growth Model (Gordon Model)
Before
Using the Constant Growth Stock
Illustrations
of Constant Growth Model
2. Find the current stock value (or
price of the stock)
Rearranged
Model for Stock Price
Price
of a Stock (given PMT and r)
Chapter
7 – Accounting Financials
Five
Uses of Future Cash Flows
Importance
of Future Cash Flows
Net
Operating Working Capital (NOWC)
NOPAT:
Net operating profit after taxes
Chapter
8 – Analysis of Financial Statements
Five
major categories of ratios
An agency relationship arises
whenever one or more individuals, call (1) hires another individual or
organization, to perform some service
(2) delegates decision-making authority to that agent.
r = r* + IP + DRP + LP + MRP
· r = quoted, nominal, rate of interest on a given security
· r* = real risk-free rate
· IP = inflation premium
· RFR = r*+IP
· DPR = default risk premium
· LP = liquidity, or marketable premium
· MRP = market risk premium
It erodes the purchasing power of the dollar and lowers the real rate of return on investments.
It is equal to the average expected inflation rate over the life of the security.
R t-bill = Rfr = r* + IP
It is the real risk-free rate plus a premium for expected inflation: Rfr = r* + IP
It is the liquidity a security has when market rates are established.
The Market risk premium is higher the longer the security stays in the market.
r^ (r-hat) = (P1)(R1)+(P2)(R2) + … + PnRn[1]
Rp = (weight 1) x (rate 1) + (weight 2) x (rate 2) + … (weight n) x (rate n)
Diversifiable risk – is caused by such random events as lawsuits, strikes, successful and unsuccessful marketing programs, the winning or losing of a particular firm, etc.
Market risk – stems from factors that systematically affect most firms: wars, inflation, recessions, and high interest rates.
An important tool used to analyze the relationship between risk and rate of return. The relevant risk of an individual stock is its contribution to the risk of a well-diversified portfolio.
Required rate on Stock I = Risk Free rate + (market risk Premium) (stocks beta)
R = RFR + ((Rm – RFR)/Std Dev Market) standard dev of portfolio
= (Rm – RFR)/Std Dev Market
Chapter 4 – Bonds
V
b= PMT / (1+ rd) 1 + PMT/ (1+ rd) 2 + … + Par Value /
(1+ rd) n
If the interest rates are well below an outstanding bond’s coupon rate, then a callable bond is likely to be called, and investors should estimate the most likely rate of return on the bond as the yield to call (YTC).
V b= PMT / (1+ rd)
1 + PMT/ (1+ rd)
2 + … + Call Price/ (1+ rd)
n

Curent Yield (CY), Capital Gains Yield (CGY), Yeild to Maturity (YTM)
YTM = Current
yield + Capital gains yield.
Cap gains yield = YTM - Current yield
This equation can be used if the future cash flow is rising, falling, fluctuating randomly, or if it is zero for some time.
Price of Stock = D1/ (1 + r) ^1 + D2/ (1 + r) ^2 + … + Dn/ (1 + r) ^n
If growth of stock is zero, then it is treated as perpetuity.
Expected rate = D1/price of stock
The following must be true in order to use the constant growth model:
The firm just paid 1.15 in dividends (D0). Required rate of return is 13.4%. Growth is 8%.

D0 = $1.15
D1 = 1.15 (1 + 8%) ^1 = $1.24 – for next year
D2 = 1.15 (1 + 8%) ^2 = $1.34 – for 2nd year
D3 = 1.15 (1 + 8%) ^3 = $1.45 – for 3rd year
D4 = 1.15 (1 + 8%) ^4 = $1.56 – for 4th year
D5 = 1.15 (1 + 8%) ^5 = $1.69 – for 5th year
P0 (expected price) = D0 (1 + g) / rs – g
P0 = $1.15 (1 + 0.08) / (13.4% - 8%) = 23.00
P1 = $1.24 (1 + 0.08) / (13.4% - 8%) = 24.80
P2 = $1.34 (1 + 0.08) / (13.4% - 8%) = 26.80
P3 = $1.45 (1 + 0.08) / (13.4% - 8%) = 29.00
P4 = $1.56 (1 + 0.08) / (13.4% - 8%) = 31.20
P5 = $1.69 (1 + 0.08) / (13.4% - 8%) = 33.80
To find the total expected return on a stock:
r = (D1/p0) + g[2]
To find the required
rate of return on the firm’s stock:
rs = rRF +
(RPM)bFirm
Dividend yield = D1/P0
Capital Gain Yield = (P1 – P0) / P0
Total Return = Dividend yield + Capital gains yield
P0 = PMT / r
•
The
premium of the option price over the exercise value declines as the stock price
increases.
•
This is
due to the declining degree of leverage provided by options as the underlying
stock price increases, and the greater loss potential of options at higher
option prices.
•
Current stock price: Call option value increases as
the current stock price increases.
•
Exercise price: As the exercise price increases, a call
option’s value decreases.
•
Option period: As the expiration date is lengthened, a call
option’s value increases (more chance of becoming in the money.)
•
Risk-free rate: Call option’s value tends to increase as rRF
increases (reduces the PV of the exercise price).
•
Stock return variance: Option value increases with
variance of the underlying stock (more chance of becoming in the money).
Net
Income / Common Shares Outstanding[3]
Dividends
Paid to Common Stockholders / Shares Outstanding[4]
Total
Common Equity / Shares Outstanding[5]
(Net
Income + Depreciation + Amortization) / Shares Outstanding[6]
Subtracting operating costs from net sales, but
excluding depreciation and amortization
Net
Income – Non-cash Revenue[7]
+ Non-cash charges[8]
OR
Net
Income + Depreciation and Amortization
•
FCF is
the amount of cash available from operations for distribution to all investors
(including stockholders and debt holders) after making the necessary
investments to support operations.
•
A
company’s value depends upon the amount of FCF it can generate.
•
Operating
current assets are the CA needed to support operations.
–
–
Cash +
Accounts Receivable + Inventories
• Operating current liabilities are the CL resulting as a normal part of operations.
– Op CL include: accounts payable and accruals.
–
Accounts
Payable + Accruals
Operating Current Assets – Operating current Liabilities
(Cash +
Accounts Receivable + Inventories) – (Accounts Payable + Accruals)
(Net operating
Working Capital) + (Operating long-term assets[9])
This is the amount of profit a company would generate if it had no debt and held no financial assets.
EBIT
(1-Tax rate)[10]
NOPAT – Net Investment in Operating Capital[11]
ROIC =
NOPAT / Operating Capital
This is the difference between the market value of the firm’s stock and the amount of equity capital that was supplied by shareholders:
MVA = Market Value of Stock – Equity Capital Supplied by shareholders
MVA = (Shares
Outstanding) * (Stock Price) – Total Common Equity
Sometimes, MVA is defined as the following:
MVA = Total Market Value – Total investor-supplied capital
MVA = (Market Value of Stock + Market Value of Debt) – Total Investor-supplied capital[12]
Focuses on managerial effectiveness in a given year:
EVA = Net Operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) – After-tax dollars cost of capital used to support operations
EVA =
EBIT (1-tax rate) – (Total net operating capital)(WACC)[14]
OR
EVA =
(Operating Capital) (ROIC – WACC)
• A firm adds value if the ROIC is greater than its WACC
• Value is reduced if WACC exceeds ROIC.
• Liquidity: Can the firm make required payments as they become due?
• Asset management: Do we have the right amount of assets for the level of sales? Are we maintaining our fixed assets? Do we have too many current assets (idle cash, AR, Inventory?)
• Debt management: Do we have the right mix of debt and equity? How much is good for shareholders? How much increases risk too much? What is the impact on risk? On WACC?
• Profitability: Do sales prices exceed unit costs, and are sales high enough to cover operating costs as well, as reflected in PM, ROE, and ROA?
• Market value: Do investors like what they see as reflected in P/E and M/B and other ratios?
= Current Assets[15] / Current Liabilities[16]
Creditors would like to see a high current ratio. By having a higher current ratio, creditors will be able to recollect their money if the company falls in default.
= (Current Assets – Inventories) / Current Liabilities
Inventories are the lease liquid of a firm’s current assets. Losses are most likely to occur in a bankruptcy.
Measures how effectively the firm is managing its assets.
= Sales / Inventory
This ratio evaluates inventory. If there is lower turn over, this means that the items are not being sold quick enough and are taking up storage. Hence, inventory does not generate revenue by being stored.
= Receivables / (Annual Sales / 365)[17]
It is known as Average Collection Period (ACP). Represents the average length of time that the firm must wait after making a sale before receiving cash, which is the average collection period.
If industry is 36 and firm is 46. It is taking the firm longer to collect A/R.
= Sales / Net Fixed Assets[18]
It measures how effectively the firm is using its plant and equipment.
= Sales / Total Assets[19]
It measures the turnover of all the firm’s assets. If it is below average, the company is not generating sufficient volume given its total assets investment. Sales should be increased, some assets should be sold, or a combination of these steps should be taken.
Debt financing, or finance leverage. It has three important implications:
1. By raising funds through debt, stockholders can maintain control of a firm without increasing their investment.
2. If the firm earns more on investments financed with borrowed funds than it pays in interest, then its shareholders’ returns are magnified, but their risk is also magnified.
3. Creditors look for the equity to provide a margin of safety.
Debt Ratio (total debt ratio) = Total Liabilities / Total Assets[20]
It measures the percentage of funds provide by sources other than equity. Creditors prefer low debt ratio. However, stockholders might want more leverage because it magnifies their expected earnings.
Times Interest Earned =EBIT / Interest Charges[21]
It measures the extent to which operating income can decline before the firm is unable to meet its annual interest cost. For example, if firm is 3.2 time and the industry is 6 times, this means the firm can cover interest 3.2 times while the industry can cover interest charges up to six times.
It the combined effects of liquidity, asset management. And debt on operating results.
Profit Margin on Sales = Net Income / Sales[22]
Higher profit margins are good. If the profit margin is low, try cutting back on cost.
BEP = EBIT / Total Assets[23]
If the firm already has low turn over ratios and low profit margin on sales, the firm might not get a high return on its assets.
Return on total assets = ROA = Net Income / Total Assets[24]
This ratio measures the return of total assets after taxes. If the firm haw a low percentage (%), it can result from 1) low basic earning power (BEP) plus 2) high interest costs resulting from its above use of debt.
ROE = Net Income / Common Equity[25]
This is the most important ratio. Investors want to know how well their money is doing in terms of return. If their ROE is close to their return on total assets, the company is using their debt pretty well.
These ratios relate the firm’s stock price to its earnings, cash flow, and book value per share.
P/E = Price per Share/Earning per Share[26]
P/E is high for firms that have strong growth prospects, other things held constant, but they are low for riskier firms.
= (Net Income + Depreciation) / Shares outstanding[27]
Price/ Cash Flow = Price per Share/Cash Flow per Share[28]
This is where cash flow is defined as net income plus depreciation and amortization. If industry is 6.8 times and the firm is 5.4 times, the firm’s growth prospect are below average, its risk is above average, or both.
Firms with hight rates of return on equity generally sell at higher multiples of book value than those with low returns.
Book Value per Share = Price per Share / Cash Flow per Share[29]
If the firm’s ratio is low, again, the firm’s growth prospect is below average; its risk is above average, or both.
M/B = Market Price per Share / Book Value per Share[30]
If the ratio is low, investors are willing to pay little for a dollar of the Company Name.
All income statement items are divided by sales, and all balance sheet items are divided by total assets.
Growth rates are calculated for all income statement items and balance sheet accounts.
or
The profit margin times the total assets turn over is called the Du Pont equation, and it gives the rate of return on assets (ROA).
ROA = Profit Margin x Total Asset Turn Over
ROA = (Net Income / Sales) x (Sales/Total Assets)
Example: 3.8% x 1.5 = 5.7
This means, the firm made 3.8%, or 3.8 cents, on each dollar of sales, and its assets were “turned over” 1.5 times during the year. Therefore, the company earned a return of 5.7 percent on its assets.
If the company was financed only
by common equity, then the ROE would be the same as ROA, since Total Assets =
common equity.
ROA = Net Income/Total Assets = Net Income / Common Equity = ROE[33]
This is only true if the firm
uses ONLY equity and NO debt. If the firm uses debt, common equity is less than
total assets. So ROE > ROA
Equity Multiplier = Total Assets / Common Equity[34]
If firm uses a lot of debt, their equity multiplier will be high – the more debt they use the less equity, hence, higher equity multiplier. If the firm has $1000 in assets and is finance with $800 (80%) debt, then the equity would be $200. So 1000/200 = 5. If it only used $200 finance, then the equity multiplier would be 1000/800=1.25.[35]
Return on Equity = ROA x Equity Multiplier[36]
ROE = (Net Income / Total Assets) x (Total Assets/Common Equity)
ROE = (Profit Margin) x (Total Asset Turn Over) x (Equity Multiplier)
ROE = (Net Income / Sales) x (Sales / Total Assets) x (Total Assets / Common Equity)
The Du Pont Equation show how the profit margin, the total assets turnover, and the use of debt interact to determine the return on equity. Provides a “quick and dirty” estimate of the impact that operating changes have on returns.
How does the Du Pont System tie with shareholder value?
• The Du Pont system focuses on:
– Expense control (PM)
– Asset utilization (TATO)
– Debt utilization (EM)
• It shows how these factors combine to determine the ROE.
• DuPont is the first step in analyzing “where the problem or opportunity may lie”
• After calculating ROE using Du Pont you have an idea as to where there may be a problem or an opportunity


EVA = $NOPAT - $Cost of Capital
[1] See page 36
[2] Expected growth rate, or capital gains yield.
[3] See page 217 for more info
[4] See page 217 for more info
[5] See page 217 for more info
[6] See page 217 for more info
[7] Alternatively, you can use Net Cash Flow = Net Income + Depreciation and Amortization
[8] Depreciation and Amortization, and deferred taxes
[9] For example, Net Plant and Equipment. See page 226
[10] See page 227
[11] See page 226 for more info
[12] The sum of equity, debt, and preferred stock. See page 232.
[13] See page 232 and 233
[14] And
Back to EVA: EVA = $ NOPAT - $
[15] Cash, marketable securities, A/R, and inventories. See page 253
[16] A/P, short-term notes payable, current maturities of long-term debt, accrued taxes, and other accrued expense. See page 253
[17] See page 255
[18] See page 256
[19] See page 256
[20] See page 257
[21] See page 258
[22] See page 259
[23] See Page 261
[24] See page 261
[25] See page 262
[26] Earnings per share = Net Income / Shares Outstanding. See page 262
[27] See Slide 28
[28] See page 263
[29] See page 263
[30] See page 263
[31] See table 8-3 and 8-4 on page 266 and 267
[32] See table 8-5 on page 267
[33] See page 268.
[34] See page 269
[35] See page 269
[36] See page 269